Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Georgia Under-21s had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.54%) and 0-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Georgia Under-21s win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.