European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Portugal national football team

Georgia U21s
2 - 0
Portugal U21s

Gagua (37'), Sazonov (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Georgia Under-21s and Portugal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia Under-21s

Last Game: Georgia U21s 2-1 Slovakia U21s
Thursday, November 12 at 10am in European Under-21 Championship

Portugal Under-21s

Last Game: Germany U21s 1-0 Portugal U21s
Sunday, June 6 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Georgia Under-21s had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.54%) and 0-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Georgia Under-21s win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Georgia Under-21sDrawPortugal Under-21s
20.58% (-17.706 -17.71)20.9% (0.336 0.34)58.52% (17.371 17.37)
Both teams to score 59.78% (-15.469 -15.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.49% (-14.327 -14.33)37.51% (14.327 14.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.27% (-17.232 -17.23)59.73% (17.233 17.23)
Georgia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-17.852 -17.85)31.6% (17.853 17.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (-26.983 -26.98)68% (26.983 26.98)
Portugal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (0.155 0.16)12.6% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.29% (0.32 0.32)38.71% (-0.32 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Georgia Under-21s 20.58%
    Portugal Under-21s 58.52%
    Draw 20.9%
Georgia Under-21sDrawPortugal Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.47% (-1.636 -1.64)
1-0 @ 4.59% (1.108 1.11)
2-0 @ 2.64% (-0.81 -0.81)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-2.665 -2.67)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-2.601 -2.6)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-1.269 -1.27)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 20.58%
1-1 @ 9.5% (2.337 2.34)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-1.651 -1.65)
0-0 @ 3.98% (2.229 2.23)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-1.821 -1.82)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 9.84% (2.465 2.47)
0-2 @ 8.54% (4.825 4.83)
0-1 @ 8.25% (4.638 4.64)
1-3 @ 6.8% (1.732 1.73)
0-3 @ 5.9% (3.346 3.35)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-1.11 -1.11)
1-4 @ 3.52% (0.912 0.91)
0-4 @ 3.05% (1.741 1.74)
2-4 @ 2.03% (-0.559 -0.56)
1-5 @ 1.46% (0.385 0.39)
0-5 @ 1.27% (0.724 0.72)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 58.52%

How you voted: Georgia U21s vs Portugal U21s

Georgia Under-21s
14.7%
Draw
11.8%
Portugal Under-21s
73.5%
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