European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Cluj Arena

France U21s
2 - 1
Italy U21s

FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-21 Championship clash between France Under-21s and Italy Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

France Under-21s

Last Game: Netherlands U21s 2-1 France U21s
Monday, May 31 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Italy Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Italy U21s 0-2 England U21s
Thursday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Under-21 Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Under-21s	0	0	0
2	Italy Under-21s	0	0	0
3	Norway Under-21s	0	0	0
4	Switzerland Under-21s	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for France Under-21s had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest France Under-21s win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
France Under-21s	Draw	Italy Under-21s
24.14% ( 0.11)	24.02% ( 0.01)	51.85% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 54.04% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.64% (

0.08)

47.36% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.42% (

0.08)

69.58% (

-0.07)

France Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1% (

0.14)

33.9% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43% (

0.15)

70.57% (

-0.14)

Italy Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

-0.01)

18.26% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.7% (

-0.02)

49.31% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

France Under-21s 24.14%

Italy Under-21s 51.84%

Draw 24.01%

France Under-21s	Draw	Italy Under-21s
1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.14%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.84%