MX23RW : Friday, December 13 21:04:06| >> :60:174:174:
European Under-19s Championship | Semi-Finals
Jun 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
MOL Aréna

France U19s
1 - 2
Israel U19s

Virginius (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toure (29' og.), Yam Kancepolsky (57')
Feingold (43'), Revivo (45+2'), Tzarfati (90+1'), Herd (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Under-19s Championship clash between France Under-19s and Israel Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: France U19s 4-1 Italy U19s
Friday, June 24 at 4.30pm in European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Israel U19s 0-1 England U19s
Saturday, June 25 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship

We said: France Under-19s 2-0 Israel Under-19s

As they have momentum, more substantial club experience, and far greater squad depth in their favour, France should ease their way through to Friday's final. Israel may hold firm for the first half, or longer, but eventually Les Bleuets' class should show. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel Under-19s win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for France Under-19s had a probability of 38.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel Under-19s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.48%) and 0-2 (5.21%). The likeliest France Under-19s win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Israel Under-19s in this match.

Result
France Under-19sDrawIsrael Under-19s
38.21% (-0.012 -0.01) 23.38% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 38.42% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.89% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.26% (0.027000000000001 0.03)37.74% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)59.98% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
France Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.12% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.63% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52.37% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Israel Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (0.021000000000001 0.02)20.02% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (0.031999999999996 0.03)52.22% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    France Under-19s 38.21%
    Israel Under-19s 38.42%
    Draw 23.37%
France Under-19sDrawIsrael Under-19s
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 38.21%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 38.42%

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