Taca de Portugal
Oct 14, 2026 7.00pm
Campo Chã das Padeiras (Marvila)

Uniao Santarem vs Gil Vicente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Uniao Santarem

All competitions

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Uniao Santarem has a probability of 27.23% and a draw has a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Uniao Santarem win is 1-0 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.65%).

Result

Uniao Santarem 27.23% ▲ (+3.79)
Draw 26.66% ▲ (+1.00)
Gil Vicente 46.1% ▼ (-4.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.76% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.36% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 1.5 28.64% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 2.5 45.96% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 2.5 53.99% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 3.5 24.45% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 3.5 75.55% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 4.5 13.48% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 4.5 86.52% ▲ (+0.99)

First Half Winner

Uniao Santarem 24.38% ▲ (+2.47)
Draw 44.6% ▲ (+1.54)
Gil Vicente 31.02% ▼ (-4.02)

Team To Score First

Uniao Santarem 39.39% ▲ (+3.61)
No Goal 8.61% ▲ (+0.22)
Gil Vicente 52% ▼ (-3.83)

Corners

Over 8 58.34% ▼ (-0.23)
Equal 8 11.11% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 8 30.55% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 9 46.98% ▼ (-0.39)
Equal 9 11.35% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 9 41.66% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 10.5 36.31% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 10.5 63.69% ▲ (+0.49)

Uniao Santarem Goals

Over 1.5 26.81% ▲ (+3.22)
Under 1.5 73.19% ▼ (-3.22)
Over 2.5 8.48% ▲ (+1.57)
Under 2.5 91.52% ▼ (-1.57)
Over 3.5 2.45% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 3.5 97.55% ▼ (-0.52)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5 74.18% ▼ (-2.76)
Under 0.5 25.82% ▲ (+2.77)
Over 1.5 41.29% ▼ (-3.76)
Under 1.5 58.71% ▲ (+3.76)
Over 2.5 18.27% ▼ (-2.77)
Under 2.5 81.73% ▲ (+2.77)
Over 3.5 6.3% ▼ (-1.73)
Under 3.5 93.7% ▲ (+1.74)

Score analysis

Uniao Santarem 27.23%
Draw 26.68%
Gil Vicente 46.1%
Uniao Santarem
1-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.88)
2-1 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.75)
2-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.71)
3-1 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.38)
3-0 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.44)
3-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.52)
Total : 27.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% ▲ (+0.49)
0-0 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.68%
Gil Vicente
0-1 @ 11.55% ▼ (-0.59)
1-2 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 8.22% ▼ (-1.12)
0-3 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.81)
1-3 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.30)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.29% ▼ (-1.73)
Total : 46.1%