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Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2021 at 10.35am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Sydney FC
1 - 0
Victory

Bobo (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Folami (83'), Barnett (86')

Preview: Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sydney FC square off against Melbourne Victory on Tuesday with the opportunity to move into second position in the A-League standings.

Meanwhile, Victory will move clear of the bottom of the table if they can extend their recent run to three wins in four fixtures.


Match preview

Sydney FC head coach Steve Corica pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Having been appointed as interim head coach after Victory's 7-0 defeat to Melbourne City, Steve Kean may have felt that he had little to lose in his opening game versus Western Sydney Wanderers.

Nevertheless, no-one could have predicted the match which unfolded with Victory netting five goals during a 59-minute period to run out 5-4 winners.

Kean batted away questions about Victory almost letting a four-goal margin slip in the closing stages, insisting that getting three points on the board was all that mattered.

While the former Blackburn Rovers boss was right, he will now be expected to build on injecting new life into a club which is still battling to avoid finishing bottom of the table.

Ben Folami, on loan from Ipswich Town, netted his first two goals of the season on Friday, and the 21-year-old could now be given more opportunities by Kean in the future.

At this stage of the campaign, Sydney FC would have hoped to have been higher than fourth place in the standings, particularly after a five-match unbeaten streak throughout April.

However, three draws in succession have left Steve Corica's side fighting to remain in contention for top spot during the remainder of the regular season.

After conceding a lead in two fixtures in a row, Sydney came from two goals adrift to claim a draw with rivals Central Coast Mariners on Saturday.

That comeback has given Sydney a chance to move ahead of their last opponents in the table, and Corica will expect his players to achieve that goal with a favourable schedule over the coming weeks.

While nine goals in five games have been shared out, Corica will hope that Bobo and Kosta Barbarouses can improve on their return of six strikes since the start of the season.

Sydney FC Australian A-League form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D

Melbourne Victory Australian A-League form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

With just a three-day turnaround after the Mariners fixture, Corica will consider making alterations to his Sydney XI.

Trent Buhagiar is in contention after scoring as a substitute at the weekend, while Paulo Retre is an option in the centre of midfield.

Having an extra day of preparation may encourage Kean to stick with the majority of the Victory team which performed so impressively against the Wanderers.

However, Callum McManaman serves a one-match ban for five yellow cards, which may hand an opportunity to Elvis Kamsoba on the right flank.

Sydney FC possible starting lineup:
Redmayne; Van Der Saag, McGowan, Wilkinson, King; Buhagiar, Caceres, Brattan, Ninkovic; Bobo, Barbarouses

Melbourne Victory possible starting lineup:
Acton; Roux, Broxham, Ryan, Lauton; Brimmer, Butterfield; Kamsoba, Kruse, Folami; Gestede


SM words green background

We say: Sydney FC 1-1 Melbourne Victory

Victory are currently playing like a team with little to lose, and we expect more of the same on Tuesday. With the home side having recorded three successive draws in succession, we are backing this contest to end in a share of the spoils after a hard-fought contest.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sydney FC in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Victory

Sydney FC
70.5%
Draw
21.3%
Melbourne Victory
8.2%
61
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