Swiss Super League Gameweek 14
Nov 22, 2026 3.30pm
St. Jakob-Park

Basel vs Luzern - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 3.30pm
Thun 3 - 3 Basel
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Zan Celar

Luzern

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 5.00pm
Luzern 2 - 3 Young Boys
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Matteo Di Giusto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luzern win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Basel has a probability of 36.17% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest Basel win is 2-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.2%).

Result

Basel 36.17%
Draw 24.1%
Luzern 39.7%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.96%
Under 1.5 19.04%
Over 2.5 60.51%
Under 2.5 39.49%
Over 3.5 38.32%
Under 3.5 61.68%
Over 4.5 23.5%
Under 4.5 76.5%

First Half Winner

Basel 32.65%
Draw 34.9%
Luzern 32.45%

Team To Score First

Basel 48.21%
No Goal 5.14%
Luzern 46.65%

Corners

Over 8 72.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 8 9.57%
Under 8 17.65% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 9 61.67% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.12%
Under 9 27.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 10.5 49.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 50.06% ▼ (-0.04)

Basel Goals

Over 1.5 41.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 58.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 18.8%
Under 2.5 81.2%
Over 3.5 6.84%
Under 3.5 93.16%

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5 73.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 26.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.25%
Under 2.5 78.75%
Over 3.5 8.79%
Under 3.5 91.21%

Score analysis

Basel 36.17%
Draw 24.09%
Luzern 39.7%
Basel
2-1 @ 7.91%
1-0 @ 6.81%
2-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 2.76%
Other @ 6.35%
Total : 36.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2%
2-2 @ 6.47%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 24.09%
Luzern
1-2 @ 8.36%
0-1 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.35%
0-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 3.16%
Other @ 8.3%
Total : 39.7%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League Gameweek 8
Sep 13, 2026 3.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT swissporarena
  • Oscar Kabwit 1' goal
  • Bung Hua Freimann 52' yellowcard
  • Bung Hua Freimann 52' yellowcard
  • Lars Villiger 84' goal
  • goal Zan Celar 4'
  • goal Philip Otele 42'
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri   56'
  • yellowcard Xherdan Shaqiri   57'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rüegg 58'
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri   66'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2026 3.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT swissporarena
  • Pius Dorn 30' goal
  • Levin Winkler 60' yellowcard
  • Sinan Karweina 75' yellowcard
  • Lars Villiger 75' yellowcard
  • Oscar Kabwit 77' goal
  • Lars Villiger 83' goal
  • Oscar Kabwit 89' goal
  • Andrej Vasovic 90' yellowcard
  • goal Bénie Traoré 45'
  • yellowcard Bénie Traoré 45'
  • yellowcard Julien Duranville 58'
  • yellowcard Metinho  58'
  • goal Julien Duranville 63'
  • yellowcard Marin Soticek 75'
  • yellowcard Moritz Broschinski  75'
  • yellowcard Koba Koindredi 90'
  • yellowcard Keigo Tsunemoto  90'+5'
Swiss Super League
Dec 17, 2025 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT swissporarena
  • Levin Winkler 16' yellowcard
  • Levin Winkler 17' yellowcard
  • Ruben Dantas Fernandes 39' yellowcard
  • Rúben Dantas Fernandes 39' yellowcard
  • Julian Vonmoos 54' goal
  • Julian Von Moos 54' goal
  • Julian Vonmoos 63' yellowcard
  • Julian Von Moos 63' yellowcard
  • Stefan Knezevic 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benie Traore 21'
  • yellowcard Bénie Traoré 21'
  • yellowcard Leo Leroy 28'
  • yellowcard Léo Leroy 28'
  • goal Moritz Broschinski 49'
  • goal Moritz Broschinski  49'
  • goal Koba Koindredi 75'
  • yellowcard Marin Soticek 83'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2025 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT St. Jakob-Park
  • Dominik Schmid 53' goal
  • goal Tyron Owusu 15'
  • goal Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira 55'
  • yellowcard Pius Dorn 59'
  • yellowcard Pascal Loretz 90'+7'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 38
May 24, 2025 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. Jakob-Park (Basel)
  • Albian Ajeti 18' goal
  • Philip Otele 40' goal
  • Anton Kade 49' yellowcard
  • Anton Kade 55' goal
  • Jonas Adjei Adjetey 63' yellowcard
  • Benie Traore 69' goal
  • yellowcard Donat Rrudhani 29'
  • yellowcard Pius Dorn 84'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 27
Mar 9, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sportplatz Chruzmatt
  • Stefan Knezevic 78' goal
  • yellowcard Adrian Leon Barisic 31'
  • goal Benie Traore 41'
  • yellowcard Joe Mendes 76'