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Arthur
11'
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Edon Zhegrova
21'
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Edon Zhegrova
36'
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Afimico Pululu
70'
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Orges Bunjaku
73'
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Valentin Stocker
77'
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Tsiy-William Ndenge
15'
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Louis Schaub
34'
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Silvan Sidler
35'
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Stefan Knezevic
42'
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Lucas Alves
59'
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Marco Burki
60'
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Filip Ugrinic
70'
Basel vs Luzern - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Luzern win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
Result
Basel
58.5%
Draw
22.44%
Luzern
19.06%
Both Teams to Score:
51.93%
Goals
Over 2.5
53.34%
Under 2.5
46.66%
Over 3.5
31.07%
Under 3.5
68.93%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5
84.37%
Under 0.5
15.63%
Over 1.5
55.36%
Under 1.5
44.63%
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5
61.55%
Under 0.5
38.45%
Over 1.5
24.8%
Under 1.5
75.2%
Score analysis
Basel
58.5%
Draw
22.44%
Luzern
19.06%
Basel
1-0
@
11.15%
2-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 6.12%
4-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 58.5%
2-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 6.12%
4-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 58.5%
Draw
1-1
@
10.66%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 22.44%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 22.44%
Luzern
0-1
@
5.74%
1-2 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 2.75%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 19.06%
1-2 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 2.75%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 19.06%
Eray Comert
99'