Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.