Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 37

May 16, 2022 at 6pm UK

Turk Telekom Arena

Galatasaray
3 - 2
Adana Demirspor

Gomis (30' pen., 63'), Akturkoglu (55')
Nelsson (32'), Kutlu (66'), Marcao (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Akgun (9'), Balotelli (67')
Akaydin (29'), Assombalonga (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Galatasaray and Adana Demirspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

Last Six:

Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-1 Galatasaray
Friday, May 20 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Hatayspor	38	-4	53
13	Galatasaray	38	-2	52
14	Kayserispor	38	-7	47

Adana Demirspor

Last Six:

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 7-0 Goztepe SK
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Fatih Karagumruk	38	-5	57
9	Adana Demirspor	38	13	55
10	Sivasspor	38	2	54

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	Adana Demirspor
44.6% ( -0.08)	24.02% ( 0.04)	31.38% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 59.77% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.59% (

-0.18)

42.41% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.18% (

-0.18)

64.81% (

0.18)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.77% (

-0.11)

19.23% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.06% (

-0.18)

50.93% (

0.18)

Adana Demirspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74% (

-0.07)

25.99% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.98% (

-0.09)

61.01% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 44.6%

Adana Demirspor 31.38%

Draw 24.02%

Galatasaray	Draw	Adana Demirspor
2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 44.6%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.38%