Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.