Europa League
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Arjan Malic
11'
-
89'
-
90'+8'
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Marko Arnautovic
16'
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Mirko Ivanic
55'
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Rade Krunic
68'
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68'
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Mirko Ivanic
69'
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Rodrigao
69'
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Rade Krunic
69'
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Rade Krunic
78'
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78'
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90'+8'
Sturm Graz vs Red Star Belgrade - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.71%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (6.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result
Sturm Graz
28.22%
Draw
22.01%
Red Star Belgrade
49.77%
Both Teams to Score:
65.04%
Goals
Over 2.5
65.39%
Under 2.5
34.61%
Over 3.5
43.44%
Under 3.5
56.55%
Over 4.5
24.97%
Under 4.5
75.03%
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5
75.9%
Under 0.5
24.1%
Over 1.5
41.6%
Under 1.5
58.39%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5
85.69%
Under 0.5
14.31%
Over 1.5
57.87%
Under 1.5
42.13%
Score analysis
Sturm Graz
28.22%
Draw
22.01%
Red Star Belgrade
49.77%
Sturm Graz
2-1
@
6.79%
1-0 @ 4.91%
2-0 @ 3.49%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 28.22%
1-0 @ 4.91%
2-0 @ 3.49%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 28.22%
Draw
1-1
@
9.54%
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 3.45%
3-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.01%
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 3.45%
3-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.01%
Red Star Belgrade
1-2
@
9.28%
0-1 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 6.52%
1-3 @ 6.01%
2-3 @ 4.28%
0-3 @ 4.23%
1-4 @ 2.92%
2-4 @ 2.08%
0-4 @ 2.05%
1-5 @ 1.14%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 49.77%
0-1 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 6.52%
1-3 @ 6.01%
2-3 @ 4.28%
0-3 @ 4.23%
1-4 @ 2.92%
2-4 @ 2.08%
0-4 @ 2.05%
1-5 @ 1.14%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 49.77%