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Spurs logo
Premier League | Gameweek 17
Jan 2, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Leeds logo

Spurs
3 - 0
Leeds

Kane (29' pen.), Heung-min (43'), Alderweireld (50')
Winks (54'), Doherty (64'), Hojbjerg (85')
Doherty (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Phillips (89')

Preview: Tottenham Hotspur vs. Leeds United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Tottenham Hotspur will be aiming to kick off the New Year on the right foot when they welcome Leeds United to North London for Saturday's Premier League encounter.

The visitors trounced West Bromwich Albion 5-0 in midweek, whereas Tottenham's clash with Fulham was postponed due to a coronavirus outbreak in the Cottagers' camp.


Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur manager Jose Mourinho pictured on December 16, 2020© Reuters

The visit of Fulham would have represented the perfect opportunity for Tottenham to return to winning ways and end the year on a high note, but as was the case with numerous fixtures in midweek, that London derby had to be called off after Fulham reported several coronavirus cases.

On the other hand, Jose Mourinho's men would have been thankful for a few more days of rest after a gruelling encounter with Wolverhampton Wanderers, in which the Spurs manager set his team up to defend and did not reap the rewards.

Tanguy Ndombele took just 57 seconds to break the deadlock at Molineux last Sunday, but Wolves deservedly levelled through Romain Saiss in the dying embers of the match, and Mourinho once again drew heavy criticism for his perceived negative style of play.

Spurs have since slipped out of the title race amid an underwhelming spell of form, and that draw with Wolves stretched their winless run in the top flight to four matches since a 2-0 North London derby win over Arsenal earlier this month.

Having been neck-and-neck with Liverpool for the majority of the campaign so far, Mourinho's side now find themselves seven points adrift of the champions, although a place in the top four is still within their reach before Manchester United, Aston Villa and Everton take to the pitch on Friday.

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa pictured on November 22, 2020© Reuters

Meanwhile, West Bromwich Albion's rearguard produced a stellar performance to restrict Liverpool to a solitary goal last weekend, but the Baggies defence was breached all too easily by Marcelo Bielsa's Leeds.

The Whites struck four times in the first half - with Ezgjan Alioski, Jack Harrison and Rodrigo netting after Romaine Sawyers's comical own goal - and a delightful strike from Raphinha completed the rout at The Hawthorns on Tuesday evening.

Aside from their narrow 1-0 win over Burnley last weekend, Leeds simply do not do low-scoring affairs, and Bielsa's talented attacking contingent are sure to fancy their chances against a Spurs side who have become renowned for sitting back.

However, Leeds' defensive frailties are very much still there - West Brom are the only team to have shipped more goals than the Whites this season - but the 30 strikes that Bielsa's men have chalked up at the correct end of the field can only be bettered by Liverpool, Manchester United and Chelsea.

Leeds have risen to 11th in the table after taking nine points from their last four matches, and should West Ham suffer defeat at Everton on Friday, the Whites would leapfrog the capital outfit if they can at least hold Spurs to a draw this weekend.

Tottenham Hotspur Premier League form: DWDLLD
Tottenham Hotspur form (all competitions): WDLLWD

Leeds United Premier League form: LLWLWW


Team News

Gareth Bale in action for Spurs on December 3, 2020© Reuters

Mourinho opted to deploy a three-man defence against Wolves, but it would not be a surprise to see the Spurs manager revert to a 4-2-3-1 here after last weekend's disappointing result.

Gareth Bale and Giovani Lo Celso are both set to remain on the sidelines for another couple of weeks at least, and there are also doubts over the fitness of Brazilian attackers Carlos Vinicius and Lucas Moura, but both players are expected to be fine.

Several changes from the draw at Molineux can be expected on the hosts' end, with Serge Aurier, Moussa Sissoko and Steven Bergwijn potentially coming back into the team.

As for the visitors, Mateusz Klich lasted just under an hour against West Brom before taking a blow to the thigh, and the midfielder is doubtful for this encounter.

Pablo Hernandez or Jamie Shackleton could deputise in midfield if Klich is not cleared to play, while defenders Liam Cooper and Diego Llorente are both expected to miss out once more.

Tottenham Hotspur possible starting lineup:
Lloris; Aurier, Alderweireld, Dier, Reguilon; Hojbjerg, Sissoko; Bergwijn, Ndombele, Son; Kane

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Dallas, Ayling, Struijk, Alioski; Phillips; Raphinha, Rodrigo, Hernandez, Harrison; Bamford


SM words green background

We say: Tottenham Hotspur 2-2 Leeds United

This has all the makings of an enthralling game. Tottenham's pace on the counter-attack could prove deadly against a depleted Leeds defence, but the Whites' relentless pressing and affinity for goals should serve them well against this Mourinho team. Spurs will be desperate to put their miserable end to 2020 behind them straight away, but we can see Leeds coming away with a point from this showdown.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting that both teams will score (BTTS - yes) in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.BTTS Yes:data



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.


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Raphinha celebrates scoring for Leeds United against West Bromwich Albion in the Premier League on December 29, 2020
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Tables header RHS
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2Liverpool34228475344174
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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