Europa League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2026 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT TC Strahov
  • Martin Suchomel 18' yellowcard
  • Ebrima Singhateh 30' yellowcard
  • Josimar Alcócer 56' goal
  • Roman Macek 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustav Nyheim 28'
  • goal Thomas Lehne Olsen 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Henrik Melland 90'+3'

Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Prague

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 5.45pm
Ararat-Armenia 1 - 4 Sparta Prague

Lillestrom

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 58.4%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 21.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (5.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Sparta Prague 58.4% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 20.45%
Lillestrom 21.14% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.41% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 18.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 61.28% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 38.72% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 39.59% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 60.41% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 26.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 73.95% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sparta Prague 48.29%
Draw 33.53%
Lillestrom 18.18%

Team To Score First

Sparta Prague 63.67% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Lillestrom 32.05% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 69.28% ▼ (-0.27)
Equal 8 9.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 21.7% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 9 59.22% ▼ (-0.26)
Equal 9 10.06%
Under 9 30.72% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 10.5 48.85% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 10.5 51.15% ▲ (+0.25)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 1.5 58.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 41.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 32.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 67.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 15.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 84.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5 57.22% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 42.78% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 27.02% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 72.98% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 9.56% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 90.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.87% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sparta Prague 58.4%
Draw 20.46%
Lillestrom 21.13%
Sparta Prague
2-1 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.71%
3-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 15.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 58.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.46%
Lillestrom
1-2 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 21.13%