Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Radomlje had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Radomlje win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NS Mura would win this match.