Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 72.18%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Radomlje had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Radomlje win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.