Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Koper had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Koper win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.