Slovak First Football League | Gameweek 9
Sep 29, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Pod Dubnom

Zilina
5 - 3
Skalica

Duris (12', 61'), Essomba (18'), Addo (83'), Sauer (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Smekal (50'), Matejov (62'), Michael Yao (75')
Masik (73')
Coverage of the Slovak First Football League clash between Zilina and Skalica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zilina

All competitions
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-0 Zilina
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Slovak First Football League

Skalica

All competitions
Last Game: Skalica 0-1 Dunajska Streda
Saturday, September 23 at 5pm in Slovak First Football League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zilina win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Skalica had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zilina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Skalica win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zilina would win this match.

Result
ZilinaDrawSkalica
39.61% (0.142 0.14)24.48% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)35.91% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.56% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7% (0.241 0.24)43.3% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31% (0.239 0.24)65.7% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)
Zilina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (0.175 0.17)21.87% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (0.261 0.26)55.11% (-0.256 -0.26)
Skalica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.22% (0.067000000000007 0.07)23.78% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.07% (0.094999999999999 0.09)57.93% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Zilina 39.61%
    Skalica 35.91%
    Draw 24.48%
ZilinaDrawSkalica
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.61%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 35.91%