Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zilina win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Skalica had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zilina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Skalica win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zilina would win this match.