Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Zemplin Michalovce had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Zemplin Michalovce win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Trnava would win this match.