Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banska Bystrica win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Zemplin Michalovce had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banska Bystrica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Zemplin Michalovce win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banska Bystrica would win this match.