Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Komarno win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Banska Bystrica had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Komarno win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Banska Bystrica win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Komarno would win this match.