Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Trencin had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Trencin win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Trnava would win this match.