Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Zemplin Michalovce had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Zemplin Michalovce win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spartak Trnava in this match.