Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trencin win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for MFK Ruzomberok had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trencin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest MFK Ruzomberok win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.