Serie B Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Comunale Chiavari

Virtus Entella vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Virtus Entella

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 6.30pm
Sampdoria 2 - 0 Virtus Entella
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Giacomo Corona

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 2.00pm
Modena 1 - 1 Mantova
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Andrea Belotti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Modena win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Virtus Entella has a probability of 31.81% and a draw has a probability of 29.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win is 1-0 (10.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.7%).

Result

Virtus Entella 31.81% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 29.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Modena 39.11% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.23% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.87% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 33.13% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 40.29% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 59.71% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 19.71% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 80.29% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 9.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 90.47% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Virtus Entella 26.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 46.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Modena 26.71% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Virtus Entella 43.07%
No Goal 10.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Modena 46.68% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 56.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.25%
Under 8 30.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 44.45% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 43.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 33.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 66.99% ▼ (-0.03)

Virtus Entella Goals

Over 1.5 28.01% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 71.99% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 8.81% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 91.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.9% ▼ (-0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 69.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.84% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 33.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.07% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 87.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.63% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Virtus Entella 31.81%
Draw 29.12%
Modena 39.12%
Virtus Entella
1-0 @ 10.83% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 31.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.7%
0-0 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.12%
Modena
0-1 @ 12.1% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 39.12%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale Chiavari
  • Tommaso Del Lungo 45' goal
  • Davide Bariti 57' yellowcard
  • Andrea Tiritiello 57' yellowcard
  • Niccolò Squizzato 62' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Debenedetti 62' yellowcard
  • Niccolò Squizzato 63' yellowcard
  • Nermin Karić 85' goal
  • Marco Dalla Vecchia 87' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Tonoli 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Manuel De Luca 69'
  • yellowcard Yanis Massolin 69'
  • yellowcard Francesco Zampano 69'
  • yellowcard Antonio Imputato 74'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Ambrosino 87'
Serie B
Oct 5, 2025 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT