Serie B Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2026 4.15pm
Stadio dei Marmi

Carrarese vs Sampdoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 4.15pm
Hellas Verona 3 - 0 Carrarese
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Tommaso Rubino

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 6.30pm
Sampdoria 2 - 0 Virtus Entella
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Lorenzo Insigne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carrarese win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Sampdoria has a probability of 29.77% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Sampdoria win is 0-1 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.8%).

Result

Carrarese 42.93% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 27.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Sampdoria 29.77% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.82% ▲ (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.45% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 27.55% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 47.61% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 52.39% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 26.26% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 3.5 73.74% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 4.5 14.34% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 4.5 85.66% ▼ (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Carrarese 27.54%
Draw 48.06%
Sampdoria 24.4%

Team To Score First

Carrarese 48.65% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 8.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Sampdoria 43.3% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 54.67% ▲ (+0.27)
Equal 8 12.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 32.83% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 9 42.23% ▲ (+0.26)
Equal 9 12.44%
Under 9 45.33% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 10.5 30.96% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 10.5 69.04% ▼ (-0.23)

Carrarese Goals

Over 1.5 40.55% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 59.45% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 16.83% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 83.17% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 5.93% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 94.07% ▼ (-0.08)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5 64.6% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 35.4% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 30.04% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 1.5 69.96% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 10.53% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 89.47% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 3.03% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 96.97% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Carrarese 42.92%
Draw 27.31%
Sampdoria 29.77%
Carrarese
1-0 @ 10.88% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-0 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 42.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.31%
Sampdoria
0-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.77%
1-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 29.77%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 31
Mar 18, 2026 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Jonas Rouhi 62' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Rubino 62' yellowcard
  • Luis Hasa 63' goal
  • Mattia Finotto 80' yellowcard
  • Filippo Melegoni 80' yellowcard
  • Dachi Lordkipanidze 88' yellowcard
  • Mattia Finotto 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pierini 57'
  • yellowcard Massimo Coda 57'
  • yellowcard Simone Pafundi 65'
  • yellowcard Matteo Luigi Brunori 77'
  • yellowcard Antonín Barák 77'
Serie B
Dec 7, 2025 6.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Liam Henderson 10' yellowcard
  • Liam Henderson 11' yellowcard
  • Massimo Coda 18' goal
  • Liam Henderson 36' goal
  • Alex Ferrari 43' yellowcard
  • Massimo Coda 82' goal
  • Luigi Cherubini 84' yellowcard
  • Massimo Coda 87' yellowcard
  • <TBD> 89' yellowcard
  • Fabio Depaoli 89' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Benedetti 90' yellowcard
  • Fabio Depaoli 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Benedetti 90'+3' redcard
  • Leonardo Benedetti 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nicholas Ioannou 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Fabio Abiuso 2'
  • goal Fabio Abiuso 26'
  • yellowcard Antonio Calabro 27'
  • yellowcard Julian Illanes Minucci 38'
  • yellowcard Ernesto Torregrossa 87'
  • yellowcard Ernesto Torregrossa 88'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Schiavi 90'+8'
Serie B Gameweek 35
Apr 25, 2025 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Ernesto Torregrossa 6' goal
  • Simone Zanon 28' goal
  • Nicolas Schiavi 35' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Schiavi 35' yellowcard
  • Stiven Shpendi 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessio Cragno 28'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Bereszynski 54'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo Vieira 85'
Serie B Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Alessandro Pio Riccio 55' yellowcard
  • Davide Veroli 67' goal
  • goal Mattia Finotto 4'
  • redcard Julian Illanes Minucci 52'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Schiavi 71'
  • yellowcard Luigi Cherubini 90'+5'