Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Monza had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
