Ascoli vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.