Africa Cup of Nations Gameweek 2
Senegal
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Grand Stade de Tanger
Congo DR
  • Pape Gueye 28' yellowcard
  • Sadio Mane 69' goal
  • Sadio Mané 69' goal
  • goal Cedric Bakambu 61'
  • goal Cédric Bakambu 61'

Senegal vs Congo DR - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 23, 2025 3.00pm
Senegal 3 - 0 Botswana

Congo DR

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 23, 2025 12.30pm
Congo DR 1 - 0 Benin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.68% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 13.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.31%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.34%) , while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Senegal 61.81% ▼ (-0.24)
Draw 24.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Congo DR 13.5% ▲ (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.36% ▲ (+0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.09% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 2.5 62.91% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 17.6% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 3.5 82.4% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 4.5 6.99% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 93.01% ▼ (-0.18)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 79.58% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 20.42% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 47.14% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 52.86% ▼ (-0.14)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5 44.43% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 0.5 55.57% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 1.5 11.78% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 1.5 88.22% ▼ (-0.40)

Score analysis

Senegal 61.8%
Draw 24.67%
Congo DR 13.5%
Senegal
1-0 @ 18.02% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 14.31% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 61.8%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.34% ▼ (-0.19)
1-1 @ 10.59% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.67%
Congo DR
0-1 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 13.5%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa Gameweek 8
Congo DR
Sep 9, 2025 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte
Senegal
  • Cédric Bakambu 26' goal
  • Yoane Wissa 33' goal
  • goal Pape Gueye 39'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 53'
  • yellowcard Pape Gueye 58'
  • goal Pape Matar Sarr 87'
  • yellowcard Habib Diarra 89'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Senegal
Jun 6, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
Congo DR
  • Pape Sarr 45'+1' goal
  • Moussa Niakhate 68' yellowcard
  • Pape Gueye 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Meschak Elia 66'
  • goal Fiston Mayele 85'
African Nations Championship
Senegal
Jan 22, 2023 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Léopold Sédar Senghor
Congo DR
  • Ousmane Diouf 23' goal
  • Pape Diallo 74' goal
  • Baggio Saidi 77' goal

Form Data

Senegal 3 - 0 Botswana
Kenya 0 - 8 Senegal
Brazil 2 - 0 Senegal
Senegal 4 - 0 Mauritania
South Sudan 0 - 5 Senegal
Congo DR 2 - 3 Senegal
Congo DR 1 - 0 Benin
Zambia 2 - 0 Congo DR
Nigeria 1 - 1 Congo DR
Cameroon 0 - 1 Congo DR
Congo DR 1 - 0 Sudan
Togo 0 - 1 Congo DR

Build-up

Feature