Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 27, 2025 at 3pm UK

Senegal
1 - 1
Congo DR

Mane (69')
Gueye (28')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakambu (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Senegal and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Congo DR
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Benin vs. Senegal
Tuesday, December 30 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Congo DR

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Congo DR
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Botswana vs. Congo DR
Tuesday, December 30 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.68% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 13.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.31%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.34%) , while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Senegal	Draw	Congo DR
61.81% ( -0.23)	24.68% ( -0.02)	13.5% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 35.36% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.09% (

0.44)

62.91% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.6% (

0.32)

82.4% (

-0.31)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.58% (

0.09)

20.42% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.14% (

0.13)

52.86% (

-0.13)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.43% (

0.68)

55.57% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.78% (

0.4)

88.22% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Senegal 61.8%

Congo DR 13.51%

Draw 24.67%

Senegal	Draw	Congo DR
1-0 @ 18.02% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 14.31% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 61.8%	0-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.19) 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.77% Total : 13.51%