Sporting Gijon

2 - 1

Ponferradina

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 35.42%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 2-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (13.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.