Segunda Division | Gameweek 30
Mar 21, 2021 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Toralin
Almeria

Ponferradina
2 - 1
Almeria

de Souza (60'), Delgado (90')
de Souza (32'), Amo (46'), Moran (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Samu (41')
Villalba (16'), Cuenca (39'), Carvalho (48'), Makaridze (83'), Schettine (84')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Almeria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.25%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 31.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.59%) and 1-2 (6.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.78%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
PonferradinaDrawAlmeria
31.11%31.64%37.25%
Both teams to score 37.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.93%70.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.72%87.28%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26%40.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68%77.32%
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7%36.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91%73.09%
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 31.11%
    Almeria 37.25%
    Draw 31.62%
PonferradinaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 13.28%
2-1 @ 6.04%
2-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 1.81%
3-0 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 31.11%
0-0 @ 14.78%
1-1 @ 13.45%
2-2 @ 3.06%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 31.62%
0-1 @ 14.98%
0-2 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-3 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.25%