Ponferradina
2 - 0
Alcorcon

de Souza (16', 55' pen.)
Adot (83'), Castellano (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Alcorcon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 35.84%. A draw had a probability of 33.8% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.4%) and 2-1 (6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.91%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (14.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	Alcorcon
35.84%	33.76%	30.4%

Both teams to score 33.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

24.79%

75.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

9.61%

90.39%

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.69%

40.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.06%

76.93%

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.55%

44.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.51%

80.49%

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 35.83%

Alcorcon 30.4%

Draw 33.75%

Ponferradina	Draw	Alcorcon
1-0 @ 16.27% 2-0 @ 7.4% 2-1 @ 6% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-1 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.11% Total : 35.83%	0-0 @ 17.91% 1-1 @ 13.2% 2-2 @ 2.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 33.75%	0-1 @ 14.52% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-3 @ 1.59% 1-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.6% Total : 30.4%