Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.61%) and 1-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (12.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.
