Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alcorcon and Rayo Vallecano.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.75%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alcorcon | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 22.41% | 28.96% | 48.63% |
| Both teams to score 38.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.94% | 66.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.37% | 84.62% |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.85% | 46.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.16% | 81.84% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% | 27.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.83% | 63.17% |
| Score Analysis |
Alcorcon 22.41%
Rayo Vallecano 48.61%
Draw 28.96%
| Alcorcon | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 4.9% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 1.26% 3-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.41% | 0-0 @ 12.75% 1-1 @ 12.68% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.37% Total : 28.96% | 0-1 @ 16.4% 0-2 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-3 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.35% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.57% Total : 48.61% |


