Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 10.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.12%) and 0-3 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-0 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.