Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Montrose |
| 40.03% | 26.07% | 33.91% |
| Both teams to score 53.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% | 50.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.36% | 72.64% |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% | 24.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% | 59.61% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% | 28.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% | 64.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.03% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.91% |