Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Montrose |
| 42.67% | 25.71% | 31.62% |
| Both teams to score 54.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.16% | 49.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% | 71.84% |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% | 23.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.87% | 57.13% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% | 29.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.48% | 65.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.66% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.62% |