Scottish League One Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Liam McLeish 24' yellowcard
  • Lewis Gibson 28' yellowcard
  • Lewis Gibson 50' goal
  • Craig Ross 87' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Emslie 25'
  • goal Jamie Lindsay 33'
  • goal Akil Wright 74'
  • yellowcard Dylan Smith 88'

Airdrieonians vs Ross County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Hamilton 4 - 0 Airdrieonians
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Liam McLeish

Ross County

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Ross County 2 - 1 Montrose
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Brian Graham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.46% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%) , while for a Airdrieonians win it was 2-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Airdrieonians 21.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 22.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Ross County 55.9% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.74% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 56.83% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 43.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 33.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 66.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 21.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 78.9% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Airdrieonians 17.72%
Draw 39.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Ross County 42.52% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Airdrieonians 32.14% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Ross County 62.1% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.88%
Under 8 35.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 41.07%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 47.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 30.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 69.36% ▼ (-0.02)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 1.5 25.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 74.14% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 9.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.46% ▲ (+0.01)

Ross County Goals

Over 0.5 82.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 54.23%
Under 1.5 45.77%
Over 2.5 28.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 71.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 12.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Airdrieonians 21.63%
Draw 22.47%
Ross County 55.9%
Airdrieonians
2-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.28%
2-0 @ 2.98%
3-1 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.47%
Ross County
0-1 @ 10.15% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-2 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.64%
2-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 12.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 55.9%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup Gameweek 5
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Kian Taylor 36' yellowcard
  • Gavin Allison Gallagher 87' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Lindsay 21'
  • goal Jack Turner 51'
  • yellowcard Jack Turner 53'
  • goal L. Jamieson 75'
  • yellowcard Dylan Smith 90'
Scottish Championship
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Global Energy Stadium
  • Uche Ikpeazu 46' yellowcard
  • Jayden Carbon 46' yellowcard
  • Len O'Sullivan 46' yellowcard
  • James Scott 67' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Noah Chilvers 76' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Strapp 4'
  • goal Chris Mochrie 17'
  • goal Cole McKinnon 39'
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Gavin Allison Gallagher 68'
  • goal Adam Devine 79'
  • yellowcard Robbie Mahon 84'
  • yellowcard Rhys Armstrong 84'
  • yellowcard Owen Stirton 84'
  • yellowcard Robbie Mahon 85'
  • yellowcard Rhys Armstrong 85'
  • yellowcard Owen Stirton 85'
  • yellowcard Jake Hastie 89'
Scottish Championship
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Robbie Mahon 72' yellowcard
  • Lewis McGrattan 72' yellowcard
  • Gavin Allison Gallagher 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Duncan 5'
  • yellowcard Kieran Phillips 66'
  • yellowcard Ronan Aiden Connolly Shea Chapman Hale 77'
  • yellowcard James Scott 77'
  • goal Kieran Phillips 84'
Scottish Championship
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Declan Gallagher 35' yellowcard
  • Dean Cornelius 62' yellowcard
  • Jay Henderson 83' goal
  • goal Gavin Gallagher 57'
  • yellowcard Dylan McDonald 58'
  • goal Euan Henderson 67'
  • yellowcard Jake Hastie 85'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 3
ET Excelsior Stadium
  • Calum Gallagher 36' goal
  • Gabriel McGill 57' yellowcard
  • Calum Gallagher 82' goal
  • Josh O'Connor 89' goal
  • goal Kyle Turner 6'
  • goal Jordan White 7'
  • yellowcard Victor Loturi 29'
  • goal Simon Murray 38'
  • yellowcard Josh Sims 50'
  • yellowcard Jordan White 55'
  • yellowcard James Brown 61'
  • goal Eamonn Brophy 101'
  • yellowcard Jack Baldwin 110'