Forfar Athletic
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Apr 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Station Park
Dundee United

Forfar
0 - 1
Dundee Utd


McCallum (53'), Fenwick (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pawlett (56')

The Match

Match Report

Peter Pawlett's second-half goal decided the contest at Station Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Cup clash between Forfar Athletic and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 75.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 8.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.81%) and 0-3 (10.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 1-0 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.

Result
Forfar AthleticDrawDundee United
8.28%15.89%75.84%
Both teams to score 42.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52%42.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11%64.89%
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.14%52.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.44%86.56%
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.52%9.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.17%31.83%
Score Analysis
    Forfar Athletic 8.28%
    Dundee United 75.83%
    Draw 15.89%
Forfar AthleticDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 3.2%
2-1 @ 2.4%
2-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 8.28%
1-1 @ 7.53%
0-0 @ 5.01%
2-2 @ 2.83%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 15.89%
0-2 @ 13.91%
0-1 @ 11.81%
0-3 @ 10.92%
1-2 @ 8.87%
1-3 @ 6.96%
0-4 @ 6.43%
1-4 @ 4.1%
0-5 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-5 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-6 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 75.83%

How you voted: Forfar vs Dundee Utd

Forfar Athletic
21.4%
Draw
14.3%
Dundee United
64.3%
14