Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for UTA Arad had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest UTA Arad win was 0-1 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.