Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UTA Arad win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Hermannstadt had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a UTA Arad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Hermannstadt win was 0-1 (10.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.