Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UTA Arad win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.03% and a win for Metaloglobus had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a UTA Arad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%) , while for a Metaloglobus win it was 1-0 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.