Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.