Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Arabi in this match.