Premier League Gameweek 38
May 25, 2025 4.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Dominic Solanke 17' goal
  • Rodrigo Bentancur 38' yellowcard
  • Pedro Porro 58' yellowcard
  • Ben Davies 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Hinshelwood 51'
  • goal Jack Hinshelwood 64'
  • yellowcard Joel Veltman 79'
  • goal Matt O'Riley 88'
  • goal Diego Gomez 90'+3'

Tottenham Hotspur vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2025 7.30pm
Aston Villa 2 - 0 Spurs
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Brennan Johnson

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
May 19, 2025 8.00pm
Brighton 3 - 2 Liverpool
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.44%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result

Tottenham Hotspur 33.31% (-0.09)
Draw 22.18% (-0.02)
Brighton & Hove Albion 44.51% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.54% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.4% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 32.6% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 45.74% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 54.26% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 26.93% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 73.07% (-0.07)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5 79.8% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.19% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.5% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 52.5% (+0.03)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 84.63% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 15.37% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 55.84% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 44.16% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 33.31%
Draw 22.18%
Brighton & Hove Albion 44.51%
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 7.44% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 4.97% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.97% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 33.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.3% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.97% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.1% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.18%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 8.71% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.44% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.44% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.35% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.4% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.55% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 44.51%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 4.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Broadfield Stadium
  • Igor Julio 34' yellowcard
  • Yankuba Minteh 48' goal
  • Georginio Rutter 58' goal
  • Danny Welbeck 66' goal
  • Bart Verbruggen 80' yellowcard
  • goal Brennan Johnson 23'
  • goal James Maddison 37'
  • yellowcard Destiny Udogie 67'
  • yellowcard Dejan Kulusevski 69'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • James Maddison 35' yellowcard
  • Pape Sarr 61' goal
  • Pape Sarr 61' yellowcard
  • Brennan Johnson 90'+6' goal
  • goal Pascal Gross 17'
  • yellowcard Facundo Buonanotte 65'
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupinan 79'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 88'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2023 7.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Jack Hinshelwood 11' goal
  • Joao Pedro 23' goal
  • Facundo Buonanotte 43' yellowcard
  • Pervis Estupinan 63' goal
  • Jakub Moder 70' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 75' goal
  • Lewis Dunk 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dejan Kulusevski 23'
  • yellowcard Richarlison 57'
  • goal Alejo Veliz 81'
  • goal Ben Davies 85'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Son Heung-min 10' goal
  • Harry Kane 79' goal
  • goal Lewis Dunk 34'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Harry Kane 22'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 16, 2022 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dejan Kulusevski 27' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Bentancur 34' yellowcard
  • Emerson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enock Mwepu 26'
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma 58'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 90'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 90'+5'

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups