Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Everton had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 28.62% | 24.11% | 47.27% |
| Both teams to score 57.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% | 44.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% | 66.64% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% | 28.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% | 64.6% |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% | 18.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.67% | 50.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.03% 1-0 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 4.21% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.62% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 7.55% 1-3 @ 5.23% 0-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.3% Total : 47.27% |