Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley Under-23s would win this match.
