Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.04%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.