Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 38.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.