Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.3%) and 2-3 (5.06%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.