Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 18, 2026 7.00pm
Lancashire FA County Ground

Burnley U21 vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley U21

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 7.00pm
Forest U21s 1 - 0 Burnley U21
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Brandon Pouani

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.00pm
Derby U21s 1 - 3 Spurs U21s
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Jaydan Davidson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley U21 win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Derby County Under-21s has a probability of 25.2% and a draw has a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley U21 win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (6.07%) and 3-1 (5.84%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win is 1-2 (6.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.07%).

Result

Burnley U21 54.85%
Draw 20%
Derby County Under-21s 25.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

67.39%

Goals

Over 1.5 88.33%
Under 1.5 11.67%
Over 2.5 71.62%
Under 2.5 28.33%
Over 3.5 48.89%
Under 3.5 51.11%
Over 4.5 34.15%
Under 4.5 65.85%

First Half Winner

Burnley U21 44.64%
Draw 31.64%
Derby County Under-21s 23.71%

Team To Score First

Burnley U21 61.9%
No Goal 2.8%
Derby County Under-21s 35.3%

Corners

Over 8 73.06%
Equal 8 8.9%
Under 8 18.03%
Over 9 62.8%
Equal 9 10.27%
Under 9 26.94%
Over 10.5 51.92%
Under 10.5 48.08%

Burnley U21 Goals

Over 1.5 61.59%
Under 1.5 38.41%
Over 2.5 36.86%
Under 2.5 63.14%
Over 3.5 18.94%
Under 3.5 81.06%

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 62.04%
Under 0.5 37.96%
Over 1.5 35.3%
Under 1.5 64.7%
Over 2.5 16.02%
Under 2.5 83.98%
Over 3.5 5.38%
Under 3.5 94.62%

Score analysis

Burnley U21 54.84%
Draw 20.02%
Derby County Under-21s 25.2%
Burnley U21
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 5.84%
1-0 @ 5.58%
3-0 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 18.54%
Total : 54.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 2.8%
3-3 @ 2.75%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.02%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-1 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 2.91%
0-2 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 4.98%
Total : 25.2%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 16
Feb 23, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Zachary David Johnson 22' goal
  • Brandon Pouani 60' yellowcard
  • Roman Egan-Riley 60' yellowcard
  • Luca Scanlon 73' yellowcard
  • Kian McMahon-Brown 83' yellowcard
  • Vernon Masara 83' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Smith 48'
  • yellowcard Cameron Wilson 63'
  • yellowcard Shaun Wade 63'
  • yellowcard Keilen Robinson 63'
  • yellowcard Jack Perry 63'
  • yellowcard Dantel Hodges 82'