Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2026 5.00pm
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 1.45pm
Motor Lublin 3 - 2 Slask Wroclaw
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 1.45pm
Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 0 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Marcel Regula

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin has a probability of 28.13% and a draw has a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win is 1-2 (7.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).

Result

Motor Lublin 46.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 25.04%
Zaglebie Lubin 28.13%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.51%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.36% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 22.64% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 54.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 45.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 31.2%
Under 3.5 68.8%
Over 4.5 17.71%
Under 4.5 82.29%

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 33.82%
Draw 42.95%
Zaglebie Lubin 23.24%

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 54.5%
No Goal 6.07%
Zaglebie Lubin 39.43%

Corners

Over 8 63.53%
Equal 8 11.16%
Under 8 25.32%
Over 9 51.59%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 36.47%
Over 10.5 39.95%
Under 10.5 60.05%

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 46.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 53.48% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 21.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 78.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.21% ▼ (-0.02)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 0.5 65.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.75%
Under 1.5 68.25%
Over 2.5 11.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.18%
Under 3.5 96.82%

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 46.9%
Draw 25.03%
Zaglebie Lubin 28.12%
Motor Lublin
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.23%
Other @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 46.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.07%
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.03%
Zaglebie Lubin
1-2 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.12%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Mar 20, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Mbaye Ndiaye 52' goal
  • Bradly van Hoeven 68' yellowcard
  • Jakub Labojko 68' yellowcard
  • Bright Ede 76' yellowcard
  • Thomas Santos 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jakub Kolan 62'
  • yellowcard Levente Szabó 62'
  • yellowcard Jakub Sypek 62'
  • yellowcard Michalis Kosidis 76'
  • yellowcard Mihael Mlinaric 76'
  • yellowcard 76'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 21, 2025 11.15am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 18, 2025 11.15am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Samuel Mraz 1' goal
  • Mathieu Scalet 62' yellowcard
  • Michal Krol 90'+2' yellowcard
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 16
Nov 22, 2024 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Zaglebia Lubin
  • Marek Mroz 58' goal
  • Jaroslaw Jach 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Najemski 23'
  • yellowcard Krystian Palacz 31'
  • goal Piotr Ceglarz 44'
  • goal Samuel Mraz 78'